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How a Second Trump Presidency Could Impact Abortion Rights and Women’s Healthcare Worldwide

London, Nov 19 : While much of the discussion around the U.S. elections has focused on the domestic implications for abortion rights, the potential global repercussions for women’s healthcare and reproductive services warrant equal attention.

A significant decision expected from Donald Trump, should he return to the White House, is the reinstatement of the Mexico City Policy, commonly known as the global gag rule. First introduced by President Reagan in 1984, this policy prohibits organizations receiving U.S. aid from providing or even discussing abortion-related services, regardless of whether U.S. funds are directly used for such purposes. Democratic administrations have historically rescinded the rule, only for Republican presidents to reinstate and expand it.

Under Trump’s first term, the scope of the rule was broadened dramatically, impacting not only family planning services but also funding for HIV/AIDS treatment, sanitation, and general public health initiatives. The scale of affected aid rose from $600 million under previous Republican administrations to approximately $12 billion, with the restrictions extending to secondary organizations partnering with primary recipients of U.S. aid.

The Global Health Impact

The United States is the largest donor of global health aid, contributing $15.8 billion in 2022—far surpassing Germany, Japan, and the UK. Policies restricting the allocation of these funds have far-reaching effects, particularly in low-income countries reliant on U.S. aid.

Research indicates that the global gag rule has consistently led to reduced access to sexual and reproductive healthcare, including contraceptive supplies, maternal care, and HIV prevention programs. In Kenya, sexual health clinics shuttered services, while in Uganda, organizations ceased programs to mitigate unsafe abortions, fearing non-compliance with vague policy definitions.

MSI Reproductive Choices, a major international reproductive health charity, reported a 17% decline in funding during Trump’s first term due to its refusal to comply with the gag rule. This funding shortfall led to an increase in unsafe abortions, with abortion rates rising by up to 40% in some regions.

Maternal and Child Mortality Risks

Unsafe abortions, which are significantly more dangerous than safe procedures, are a major cause of maternal mortality. While deaths from safe abortions are rare (approximately 1 per 100,000), unsafe abortions carry a mortality rate of 200 per 100,000.

Studies have shown that restrictions on U.S. aid also disrupt integrated healthcare services, such as combining family planning with HIV testing and cancer screenings. These disruptions have a cascading effect, worsening overall health outcomes. For example, research revealed an additional 90,000 new HIV infections annually in countries heavily reliant on U.S. aid during periods when the global gag rule was enforced.

Country-Specific Impacts: Nepal

Nepal, which legalized abortion and mandates free access through government health facilities under its 2018 Safe Motherhood and Reproductive Health Rights Act, illustrates the broader implications. The U.S. remains Nepal’s largest health aid donor, providing over 60% of its family planning and reproductive health budget under the Biden administration. However, under Trump’s last term, maternal and child health services in Nepal deteriorated, with frequent contraceptive stockouts and reduced healthcare access.

A Call for Global Action

Historically, European donors have attempted to mitigate the fallout from U.S. policy shifts, increasing their commitments to safeguard reproductive health services. However, experts emphasize the need for sustained, long-term funding strategies to shield vulnerable populations from the adverse effects of restrictive U.S. policies.

The reinstatement of the global gag rule could paradoxically lead to higher abortion rates, most of them unsafe, and an increase in maternal deaths. Such policies not only undermine reproductive rights but also jeopardize the lives of countless women worldwide.

The global community must act swiftly to ensure the continuity of essential healthcare services, emphasizing the critical need for international collaboration in protecting women’s health.

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